Fever's First-Round Playoff Opponent Still Up in the Air

The short version
- Indiana's final regular-season game is at top-seeded Minnesota.
- Most likely first-round opponent: Las Vegas as the 3 seed hosting the 6-seed Fever (39.5%).
- Fever could host Atlanta as the 4 seed (28.7%) or visit as the 5 seed (24.8%).
- Golden State matchup is least likely at 7%.
With one regular-season game remaining, Indiana could draw Atlanta, Las Vegas or Golden State in the opening round of the WNBA playoffs.
The Indiana Fever close the regular season with a road game against the top-seeded Minnesota Lynx, a rematch after Indiana won on Tuesday. The result, combined with outcomes elsewhere, will determine Indiana's first-round playoff opponent.
The most likely scenario, at 39.5% per the published projections, sends the Fever to Las Vegas as the 6 seed. That requires Las Vegas to win at Phoenix, Golden State to lose at Los Angeles, Washington to beat Chicago and Indiana to fall to Minnesota.
Indiana hosting Atlanta as the 4 seed has a 28.7% chance, which happens if the Fever beat the Lynx and Atlanta loses to New York. A trip to Atlanta as the 5 seed sits at 24.8%, while a first-round meeting with Golden State as the 6 seed is the longest shot at 7%.
Elsewhere in the bracket, Minnesota is projected to face New York in the first round at 85.8%, with Dallas the alternative at 14.2%. Golden State is the likely 2 seed, with Las Vegas also in contention depending on Thursday's results.